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In this talk, we shall first review some projective criteria under which the central limit theorem holds. The projective criteria considered will be the Heyde criterion, the Hannan criterion, the Maxwell-Woodroofe condition and the Dedecker-Rio's condition. We shall also investigate under which projective criteria the reinforced versions of the CLT such as the weak invariance principle or the quenched CLT (and its functional form) still hold.

60F05 ; 60F17

Complete wetting in the context of the low temperature two-dimensional Ising model is characterized by creation of a mesoscopic size layer of the "-" phase above an active substrate. Adding a small positive magnetic field h makes "-"-phase unstable, and the layer becomes only microscopically thick. Critical prewetting corresponds to a continuous divergence of this layer as h tends to zero. There is a conjectured 1/3 (diffusive) scaling leading to Ferrari-Spohn diffusions. Rigorous results were established for polymer models of random and self-avoiding walks under vanishing area tilts.
A similar 1/3-scaling is conjectured to hold for top level lines of low temperature SOS-type interfaces in three dimensions. In the latter case, the effective local structure is that of ordered walks, again under area tilts. The conjectured scaling limits (rigorously established in the random walk context) are ordered diffusions driven by Airy Slatter determinants.
Based on joint walks with Senya Shlosman, Yvan Velenik and Vitali Wachtel.
Complete wetting in the context of the low temperature two-dimensional Ising model is characterized by creation of a mesoscopic size layer of the "-" phase above an active substrate. Adding a small positive magnetic field h makes "-"-phase unstable, and the layer becomes only microscopically thick. Critical prewetting corresponds to a continuous divergence of this layer as h tends to zero. There is a conjectured 1/3 (diffusive) scaling leading ...

60K35 ; 82B41 ; 60G50 ; 60F17

The Skorokhod space is natural for modeling trajectories of most time series with heavy tails. We give a systematic account of topologies on the Skorokhod space. The applicability of each topology is illustrated by examples of suitable dependent stationary sequences, for which the corresponding functional limit theorem holds.

60F17 ; 60G10 ; 60B10 ; 54E99

We first introduce the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We then consider the Random Walk Metropolis algorithm on $R^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one dimensional law. It is well-known that, in the limit $n$ tends to infinity, starting at equilibrium and for an appropriate scaling of the variance and of the timescale as a function of the dimension $n$, a diffusive limit is obtained for each component of the Markov chain. We generalize this result when the initial distribution is not the target probability measure. The obtained diffusive limit is the solution to a stochastic differential equation nonlinear in the sense of McKean. We prove convergence to equilibrium for this equation. We discuss practical counterparts in order to optimize the variance of the proposal distribution to accelerate convergence to equilibrium. Our analysis confirms the interest of the constant acceptance rate strategy (with acceptance rate between 1/4 and 1/3). We first introduce the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We then consider the Random Walk Metropolis algorithm on $R^n$ with Gaussian proposals, and when the target probability measure is the $n$-fold product of a one dimensional law. It is well-known that, in the limit $n$ tends to infinity, starting at equilibrium and for an appropriate scaling of the variance and of the timescale as a function of the dimension $n$, a diffusive limit is obtained ...

60J22 ; 60J10 ; 60G50 ; 60F17 ; 60J60 ; 60G09 ; 65C40 ; 65C05

I will discuss the simplest possible (non trivial) example of a fast-slow partially hyperbolic system with particular emphasis on the problem of establishing its statistical properties.

37A25 ; 37C30 ; 37D30 ; 37A50 ; 60F17

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