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Experimenting in equilibrium

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Virtualconference
Authors : Wager, Stefan (Author of the conference)
CIRM (Publisher )

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Abstract : Classical approaches to experimental design assume that intervening on one unit does not affect other units. There are many important settings, however, where this non-interference assumption does not hold, e.g., when running experiments on supply-side incentives on a ride-sharing platform or subsidies in an energy marketplace. In this paper, we introduce a new approach to experimental design in large-scale stochastic systems with considerable cross-unit interference, under an assumption that the interference is structured enough that it can be captured using mean-field asymptotics. Our approach enables us to accurately estimate the effect of small changes to system parameters by combining unobstrusive randomization with light-weight modeling, all while remaining in equilibrium. We can then use these estimates to optimize the system by gradient descent. Concretely, we focus on the problem of a platform that seeks to optimize supply-side payments p in a centralized marketplace where different suppliers interact via their effects on the overall supply-demand equilibrium, and show that our approach enables the platform to optimize p based on perturbations whose magnitude can get vanishingly small in large systems.

Keywords : experimental design; interference; mean-field model; stochastic system

MSC Codes :

Additional resources :
https://www.cirm-math.com/uploads/2/6/6/0/26605521/exp_in_equilibrium_luminy.pdf

    Information on the Video

    Film maker : Hennenfent, Guillaume
    Language : English
    Available date : 15/06/2020
    Conference Date : 09/06/2020
    Subseries : Research talks
    arXiv category : Statistics Theory ; Machine Learning
    Mathematical Area(s) : Mathematics in Science & Technology
    Format : MP4 (.mp4) - HD
    Video Time : 00:54:34
    Targeted Audience : Researchers
    Download : https://videos.cirm-math.fr/2020-06-09_Wager.mp4

Information on the Event

Event Title : Mathematical Methods of Modern Statistics 2 / Méthodes mathématiques en statistiques modernes 2
Event Organizers : Bogdan, Malgorzata ; Graczyk, Piotr ; Panloup, Fabien ; Proïa, Frédéric ; Roquain, Etienne
Dates : 15/06/2020 - 19/06/2020
Event Year : 2020
Event URL : https://www.cirm-math.com/cirm-virtual-e...

Citation Data

DOI : 10.24350/CIRM.V.19646303
Cite this video as: Wager, Stefan (2020). Experimenting in equilibrium. CIRM. Audiovisual resource. doi:10.24350/CIRM.V.19646303
URI : http://dx.doi.org/10.24350/CIRM.V.19646303

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