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Exponent dynamics for branching processes

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Authors : Méléard, Sylvie (Author of the conference)
CIRM (Publisher )

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Abstract : We consider a stochastic model for the evolution of a discrete population structured by a trait taking finitely many values on a grid of [0, 1], with mutation and selection. We study of the dynamics of the population in logarithm size and time scales, under a large population assumption. In the first part of the talk, individual mutations are rare but the global mutation rate tends to infinity. Then negligible sub-populations may have a strong contribution to evolution. The traits can also be horizontally transferred, leading to a trade-off between natural evolution to higher birth rates and transfer which drives the population towards lower birth rates. We prove that the stochastic discrete exponent process converges to a piecewise affine continuous function, which can be described along successive phases determined by dominant traits. In the second part of the talk, the individual mutations are small but not rare, we don't have any transfer and we assume the grid mesh for the trait values becoming smaller and smaller. We establish that under our rescaling, the stochastic discrete exponent process converges to the viscosity solution of a Hamilton-Jacobi equation, filling the gap between individual-based evolutionary models and Hamilton-Jacobi equations.
Joint works with N. Champagnat and V.C. Tran, and S. Mirrahimi for the second part.

Keywords : branching processes; asymptotic behavior; biological modeling

MSC Codes :
60J85 - Applications of branching processes
92D25 - Population dynamics (general)
35Q92 - PDEs in connection with biology and other natural sciences

Additional resources :
https://www.cirm-math.fr/RepOrga/2390/Slides/Sylvie_Meleard.pdf

    Information on the Video

    Film maker : Recanzone, Luca
    Language : English
    Available date : 27/09/2023
    Conference Date : 05/09/2023
    Subseries : Research talks
    arXiv category : Probability
    Mathematical Area(s) : Probability & Statistics
    Format : MP4 (.mp4) - HD
    Video Time : 00:46:26
    Targeted Audience : Researchers ; Graduate Students ; Doctoral Students, Post-Doctoral Students
    Download : https://videos.cirm-math.fr/2023-09-05_Méléard.mp4

Information on the Event

Event Title : A Random Walk in the Land of Stochastic Analysis and Numerical Probability / Une marche aléatoire dans l'analyse stochastique et les probabilités numériques
Event Organizers : Champagnat, Nicolas ; Pagès, Gilles ; Tanré, Etienne ; Tomašević, Milica
Dates : 04/09/2023 - 08/09/2023
Event Year : 2023
Event URL : https://conferences.cirm-math.fr/2390.html

Citation Data

DOI : 10.24350/CIRM.V.20087803
Cite this video as: Méléard, Sylvie (2023). Exponent dynamics for branching processes. CIRM. Audiovisual resource. doi:10.24350/CIRM.V.20087803
URI : http://dx.doi.org/10.24350/CIRM.V.20087803

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