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Anticipating ecological surprise: resilience, tipping points, early-warnings signals

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Auteurs : Dakos, Vasilis (Auteur de la Conférence)
CIRM (Editeur )

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Résumé : Evidence is increasing that large-scale abrupt changes in ecosystems, sheries, oceanic circulation patterns, or even human physiology are examples of catastrophic transitions between different system states. Such abrupt changes are typically referred to as tipping points. Recent theoretical findings suggest that distinct properties tend to rule system dynamics prior to tipping points. When quantified, these properties may be more generically used as indicators of resilience. As long-term data become increasingly available and experimental approaches are improving, the challenge has been to apply our theoretical metrics on ecological dynamics to anticipate, prepare, or navigate away from tipping points. In this talk, I will present how we can quantify resilience and detect tipping points highlighting examples from ecological and climate systems. Moreover, I will outline challenges and ideas on how we can operationalise such approaches and also how to better understand tipping point responses in a changing but evolving world.

Codes MSC :
92-06 - Proceedings, conferences, collections, etc.
92D25 - Population dynamics (general)
92D40 - Ecology

    Informations sur la Vidéo

    Réalisateur : Hennenfent, Guillaume
    Langue : Anglais
    Date de publication : 10/05/2023
    Date de captation : 27/04/2023
    Sous collection : Research talks
    arXiv category : Quantitative Biology ; Populations and Evolution
    Domaine : Analysis and its Applications ; Dynamical Systems & ODE
    Format : MP4 (.mp4) - HD
    Durée : 00:52:34
    Audience : Researchers ; Graduate Students ; Doctoral Students, Post-Doctoral Students
    Download : https://videos.cirm-math.fr/2023-04-27_Dakos.mp4

Informations sur la Rencontre

Nom de la rencontre : Mathematical Population Dynamics, Ecology and Evolution 2023 / Mathématiques pour la Dynamique des populations, l'Ecologie et l'Evolution
Organisateurs de la rencontre : Petrovskii, Sergei ; Poggiale, Jean-Christophe ; Touzeau, Suzanne
Dates : 24/04/2023 - 28/04/2023
Année de la rencontre : 2023
URL Congrès : https://conferences.cirm-math.fr/2769.html

Données de citation

DOI : 10.24350/CIRM.V.20039903
Citer cette vidéo: Dakos, Vasilis (2023). Anticipating ecological surprise: resilience, tipping points, early-warnings signals. CIRM. Audiovisual resource. doi:10.24350/CIRM.V.20039903
URI : http://dx.doi.org/10.24350/CIRM.V.20039903

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