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From robust tests to robust Bayes-like posterior distribution

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Authors : Baraud, Yannick (Author of the conference)
CIRM (Publisher )

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Abstract : We address the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations within the framework of Bayesian statistics. We propose a new posterior distribution that shares some similarities with the classical Bayesian one. In particular, when the statistical model is exact, we show that this new posterior distribution concentrates its mass around the target distribution, just as the classical Bayes posterior would do. However, unlike the Bayes posterior, we prove that these concentration properties remain stable when the equidistribution assumption is violated or when the data are i.i.d. with a distribution that does not belong to our model but only lies close enough to it. The results we obtain are non-asymptotic and involve explicit numerical constants.

Keywords : robust statistics; bayesian posterior; robust estimation; density estimation.

MSC Codes :
62F15 - Bayesian inference
62F35 - Robustness and adaptive procedures
62G05 - Nonparametric estimation
62G35 - Robustness

    Information on the Video

    Film maker : Récanzone, Luca
    Language : English
    Available date : 14/01/2025
    Conference Date : 16/12/2024
    Subseries : Research talks
    arXiv category : Statistics Theory
    Mathematical Area(s) : Probability & Statistics
    Format : MP4 (.mp4) - HD
    Video Time : 00:30:56
    Targeted Audience : Researchers ; Graduate Students ; Doctoral Students, Post-Doctoral Students
    Download : https://videos.cirm-math.fr/2024-12-16_baraud.mp4

Information on the Event

Event Title : New challenges in high-dimensional statistics / Statistique mathématique
Event Organizers : Klopp, Olga ; Pouet, Christophe ; Rakhlin, Alexander
Dates : 16/12/2024 - 20/12/2024
Event Year : 2024
Event URL : https://conferences.cirm-math.fr/3055.html

Citation Data

DOI : 10.24350/CIRM.V.20279103
Cite this video as: Baraud, Yannick (2024). From robust tests to robust Bayes-like posterior distribution. CIRM. Audiovisual resource. doi:10.24350/CIRM.V.20279103
URI : http://dx.doi.org/10.24350/CIRM.V.20279103

See Also

Bibliography

  • AUDIBERT, Jean-Yves et CATONI, Olivier. Linear regression through PAC-Bayesian truncation. arXiv preprint arXiv:1010.0072, 2010.² - https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1010.0072

  • BARAUD, Yannick. Tests and estimation strategies associated to some loss functions. Probability Theory and Related Fields, 2021, vol. 180, no 3, p. 799-846. - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-021-01065-1

  • BARAUD, Yannick. From robust tests to Bayes-like posterior distributions. Probability Theory and Related Fields, 2024, vol. 188, no 1, p. 159-234. - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-023-01222-8

  • BIRGÉ, Lucien. About the non-asymptotic behaviour of Bayes estimators. Journal of statistical planning and inference, 2015, vol. 166, p. 67-77. - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2014.07.009

  • GHOSAL, Subhashis, GHOSH, Jayanta K., et VAN DER VAART, Aad W. Convergence rates of posterior distributions. Annals of Statistics, 2000, p. 500-531. - https://www.jstor.org/stable/2674039

  • LE CAM, L. On local and global properties in the theory of asymptotic normality of experiments. Stochastic processes and related topics, 1975, vol. 1, p. 13-54. -



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