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Climate models simulate atmospheric flows interacting with many physical processes. Because they address long time scales, from centuries to millennia, they need to be efficient, but not at the expense of certain desirable properties, especially conservation of total mass and energy. Most of my talk will explain the design principles behind DYNAMICO, a highly scalable unstructured-mesh energy-conserving finite volume/mimetic finite difference atmospheric flow solver and potential successor of LMD-Z, a structured-mesh (longitude-latitude) solver currently operational as part of IPSL-CM, the Earth System Model developed by Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL). Specifically, the design exploits the variational structure of the equations of motion and their Hamiltonian formulation, so that the conservation of energy requires only that the discrete grad and div operators be compatible, i.e. that a discrete integration by parts formula holds.
I will finish my talk by sketching how the desirable properties of DYNAMICO may be obtained with a different approach based on mixed finite elements (FEM). Indeed while DYNAMICO is very fast and scalable, it is low-order and higher-order accuracy may be desirable. While FEM methods can provide higher-order accuracy, they are computationally more expensive. They offer a viable path only if the performance gap compared to finite differences is not too large. The aim of the CEMRACS project A-HA is to evaluate how wide this gap may be, and whether it can be narrowed by using a recently proposed duality-based approach to assemble the various matrices involved in a FEM method.[-]
Climate models simulate atmospheric flows interacting with many physical processes. Because they address long time scales, from centuries to millennia, they need to be efficient, but not at the expense of certain desirable properties, especially conservation of total mass and energy. Most of my talk will explain the design principles behind DYNAMICO, a highly scalable unstructured-mesh energy-conserving finite volume/mimetic finite difference ...[+]

76M25 ; 86A10

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Extreme events are of primarily importance for understanding the impact of climate change. However, because they are too rare and realistic models are too complex, traditional deep neural networks are inefficient for predictions. We cope with this lack of data using rare event simulations. From the best climate models, we oversample extremely rare events and obtain several hundreds more events than with usual climate runs, at a fixed numerical cost. Coupled with deep neural networks this approach improves drastically the prediction of extreme heat waves.[-]
Extreme events are of primarily importance for understanding the impact of climate change. However, because they are too rare and realistic models are too complex, traditional deep neural networks are inefficient for predictions. We cope with this lack of data using rare event simulations. From the best climate models, we oversample extremely rare events and obtain several hundreds more events than with usual climate runs, at a fixed numerical ...[+]

00A79 ; 86A10 ; 60F10 ; 68T01 ; 70K99

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Mathematical analysis of geophysical models - Titi, Edriss S. (Author of the conference) | CIRM H

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In this course I will be covering three main topics. The first part will be concerning the NavierStokes and Euler equations - a quick survey. The second part will discuss the question of global regularity of certain geophysical flows. The third part about coupling the atmospheric models with the microphysics dynamics of moisture in warm clouds formation.
The basic problem faced in geophysical fluid dynamics is that a mathematical description based only on fundamental physical principles, which are called the 'Primitive Equations', is often prohibitively expensive computationally, and hard to study analytically. In these introductory lectures, aimed toward graduate students and postdocs, I will survey the mathematical theory of the 2D and 3D Navier-Stokes and Euler equations, and stress the main obstacles in proving the global regularity for the 3D case, and the computational challenge in their direct numerical simulations. In addition, I will emphasize the issues facing the turbulence community in their turbulence closure models. However, taking advantage of certain geophysical balances and situations, such as geostrophic balance and the shallowness of the ocean and atmosphere, I will show how geophysicists derive more simplified models which are easier to study analytically. In particular, I will prove the global regularity for 3D planetary geophysical models and the Primitive equations of large scale oceanic and atmospheric dynamics with various kinds of anisotropic viscosity and diffusion. Moreover, I will also show that for certain class of initial data the solutions of the inviscid 2D and 3D Primitive Equations blowup (develop a singularity).[-]
In this course I will be covering three main topics. The first part will be concerning the NavierStokes and Euler equations - a quick survey. The second part will discuss the question of global regularity of certain geophysical flows. The third part about coupling the atmospheric models with the microphysics dynamics of moisture in warm clouds formation.
The basic problem faced in geophysical fluid dynamics is that a mathematical description ...[+]

35Q86 ; 35Q35 ; 35Q93 ; 76D05 ; 35Q30 ; 86A05 ; 86A10

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In this talk, I will introduce the stochastic downscaling method (SDM) that borrows techniques from small scale turbulence (S.B. Pope) for the simulation of wind flows thanks to hybrid methods (deterministic-stochastic). I will present the downscaling method used to refine a wind forecast at a sufficiently small scale, and the way wind turbines are implemented in the model. Comparisons with traditional numerical methods (LES) and validation w.r.t. experimental data will also be provided.[-]
In this talk, I will introduce the stochastic downscaling method (SDM) that borrows techniques from small scale turbulence (S.B. Pope) for the simulation of wind flows thanks to hybrid methods (deterministic-stochastic). I will present the downscaling method used to refine a wind forecast at a sufficiently small scale, and the way wind turbines are implemented in the model. Comparisons with traditional numerical methods (LES) and validation ...[+]

60H10 ; 86A10 ; 86-08 ; 76F55 ; 76M35

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